Tennis · Challenger Florence · 23/10, 10:00
Prediction: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Sandro Kopp
Team pages: Alex Marti Pujolras · Sandro Kopp
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Marti Pujolras
Sandro Kopp
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Marti Pujolras
6-4 (W-L)
Sandro Kopp
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Marti Pujolras 1547 · Sandro Kopp 1477
| Alex Marti Pujolras | Sandro Kopp | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Marti Pujolras (rating 1547 vs 1477).
- Note: Alex Marti Pujolras makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Alex Marti Pujolras | Sandro Kopp | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.3 | 10.4-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 31.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Marti Pujolras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/10 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/10 | Jakub Vrba Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/10 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 11/10 | John Sperle Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Filippo Moroni Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Nico Hipfl M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/09 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Sandro Kopp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/10 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 05/10 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Matias Soto Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Martin Krumich Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Mika Brunold Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Marti Pujolras vs Sandro Kopp?
Our model gives 51% to Sandro Kopp, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.