Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 22/10, 09:00
Prediction: Marek Gengel vs Tomas Lanik
Team pages: Marek Gengel · Tomas Lanik
Prediction summary
Winner
Marek Gengel
Tomas Lanik
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Marek Gengel
5-5 (W-L)
Tomas Lanik
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marek Gengel 1460 · Tomas Lanik 1546
| Marek Gengel | Tomas Lanik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tomas Lanik (rating 1460 vs 1546).
- Tomas Lanik dominates on serve: 6 aces and 46.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Marek Gengel | Tomas Lanik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-11.6 | 10.1-7.5 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 6 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 77.2% |
| Break % | 33.6% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marek Gengel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Dominik Guzmicky M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 16/09 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Christian Langmo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Milos Karol Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 31/05 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Jeremy Schifris M25 Louny · ~Clay |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Karl Poling M25 Louny · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/04 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Tomas Lanik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Karim Ibrahim M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Bogdan Seleznev M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Paul Jubb M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Daniil Varaksa M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/09 | Henry De Keulenaer M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | David Eichenseher M15 Szczawno |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
| 02/09 | Alex Huszar M15 Szczawno |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | John Sperle M15 Pecs |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Alexander Wagner M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Jure Siftar M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marek Gengel vs Tomas Lanik?
Our model gives 58% to Marek Gengel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.