Tennis · M15 Tanagura · 22/10, 02:00
Prediction: Yuto Oki vs Shotaro Yamamoto
Team pages: Yuto Oki · Shotaro Yamamoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuto Oki
Shotaro Yamamoto
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Yuto Oki
4-6 (W-L)
Shotaro Yamamoto
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuto Oki 1482 · Shotaro Yamamoto 1533
| Yuto Oki | Shotaro Yamamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shotaro Yamamoto (rating 1482 vs 1533).
Statistics
| Yuto Oki | Shotaro Yamamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-9.5 | 9.6-8.7 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 27.9% | 56.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuto Oki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Yanki Erel M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Shintaro Imai M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Kai-An Wu M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/08 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
Shotaro Yamamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Koyu Yanagi M15 Tanagura |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 04/10 | Raffael Gasanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/10 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Sota Kambara UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Kirill Kistanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Taketo Takamisawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Kai Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuto Oki vs Shotaro Yamamoto?
Our model gives 64% to Yuto Oki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.