Tennis · M15 Tanagura · 23/10, 03:00
Prediction: Yusuke Kusuhara vs Takuya Kumasaka
Team pages: Yusuke Kusuhara · Takuya Kumasaka
Prediction summary
Winner
Yusuke Kusuhara
Takuya Kumasaka
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Yusuke Kusuhara
6-4 (W-L)
Takuya Kumasaka
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yusuke Kusuhara 1496 · Takuya Kumasaka 1453
| Yusuke Kusuhara | Takuya Kumasaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yusuke Kusuhara (rating 1496 vs 1453).
Statistics
| Yusuke Kusuhara | Takuya Kumasaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.5 | 9.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yusuke Kusuhara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Kodai Abe M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/09 | Sora Fukuda M25 Urayasu |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/06 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Kazuki Nishiwaki M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Takuya Kumasaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Reiya Komagata M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Joshua Charlton Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Alexander Donski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Florent Bax Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 20/07 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yusuke Kusuhara vs Takuya Kumasaka?
Our model gives 54% to Takuya Kumasaka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.