Tennis · M15 Tanagura · 22/10, 02:00
Prediction: Oscar Brown vs Toshiki Karigyo
Team pages: Oscar Brown · Toshiki Karigyo
Prediction summary
Winner
Oscar Brown
Toshiki Karigyo
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Oscar Brown
6-4 (W-L)
Toshiki Karigyo
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oscar Brown 1533 · Toshiki Karigyo 1522
| Oscar Brown | Toshiki Karigyo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Toshiki Karigyo makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Oscar Brown | Toshiki Karigyo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-8.9 | 10.9-11.6 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 6.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 42.6% | 37.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oscar Brown
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Yan Cheng Chen M15 Tanagura |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 18/10 | Sora Fukuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Mikal Statham UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Hien Q H Pham UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Baku |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Pavel Skvortcov M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/09 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Baku |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Karol Filar M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Toshiki Karigyo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Tanagura |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 19/10 | Natsuki Yamamoto M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Taiyo Uenoyama UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Ye Chen M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Tsung-Hao Huang M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Ku Keon Kang M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Eric Jr. Olivarez M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Koyu Yanagi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Naoto Tomizawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Taiyo Kurata UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oscar Brown vs Toshiki Karigyo?
Our model gives 64% to Oscar Brown, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.