Tennis · M15 Tanagura · 22/10, 02:00
Prediction: Noritaka Koizumi vs Takuya Kumasaka
Team pages: Noritaka Koizumi · Takuya Kumasaka
Prediction summary
Winner
Noritaka Koizumi
Takuya Kumasaka
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Noritaka Koizumi
6-4 (W-L)
Takuya Kumasaka
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noritaka Koizumi 1500 · Takuya Kumasaka 1454
| Noritaka Koizumi | Takuya Kumasaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Noritaka Koizumi (rating 1500 vs 1454).
Statistics
| Noritaka Koizumi | Takuya Kumasaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-9.9 | 9.5-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.3% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noritaka Koizumi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Riku Takahata M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/09 | Taisei Ichikawa Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Shunsuke Mitsui M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Riku Takahata M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Kristjan Tamm M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Masamichi Imamura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/08 | Ryota Tanuma M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-18 | L |
| 16/07 | James Van Herzeele M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Takuya Kumasaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Reiya Komagata M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Joshua Charlton Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Alexander Donski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Florent Bax Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 20/07 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/07 | Asier Meneses Perny Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noritaka Koizumi vs Takuya Kumasaka?
Our model gives 56% to Takuya Kumasaka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.