Tennis · W75 Saguenay · 21/10, 17:30
Prediction: Justina Mikulskyte vs Hiromi Abe
Team pages: Justina Mikulskyte · Hiromi Abe
Prediction summary
Winner
Justina Mikulskyte
Hiromi Abe
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Justina Mikulskyte
2-8 (W-L)
Hiromi Abe
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Justina Mikulskyte
1–0
Hiromi Abe
(1 last)
- 27 Dec2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Justina Mikulskyte 1467 · Hiromi Abe 1613
| Justina Mikulskyte | Hiromi Abe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hiromi Abe (rating 1467 vs 1613).
- Hiromi Abe is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Justina Mikulskyte 1–0 Hiromi Abe (1).
Statistics
| Justina Mikulskyte | Hiromi Abe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-11.3 | 12.9-8.2 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 56.2% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 39.1% | 50.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Justina Mikulskyte 1 – 0 Hiromi Abe (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Justina Mikulskyte 1–0 Hiromi Abe
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/23 ITF W40 Navi Mumbai | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Justina Mikulskyte
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Isabella Marton W75 Saguenay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Ariana Arseneault W50 Quebec City |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi W35 Lagos |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Paula Badosa WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Chloe Paquet WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Antonia Rivera WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Clara Burel W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Nahia Berecoechea W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/08 | Denisa Zoldakova W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Ariana Geerlings W75 Bytom |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
Hiromi Abe
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Michaela Bayerlova W75 Saguenay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 15/10 | Reese Brantmeier W50 Quebec City |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Kisa Yoshioka W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/09 | Sakura Hosogi W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/09 | Sayaka Ishii W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Eri Shimizu W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Kanon Sawashiro W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Haruna Arakawa W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/09 | Jia-Jing Lu W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/09 | Rinko Matsuda W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Justina Mikulskyte vs Hiromi Abe?
Our model gives 75% to Hiromi Abe, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.