Tennis · W75 Saguenay · 24/10, 00:30
Prediction: Sara Saito vs Ariana Arseneault
Team pages: Sara Saito · Ariana Arseneault
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Saito
Ariana Arseneault
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Saito
6-4 (W-L)
Ariana Arseneault
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Saito 1510 · Ariana Arseneault 1514
| Sara Saito | Ariana Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sara Saito makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Sara Saito | Ariana Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12.4 | 10.6-8.7 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 6 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Saito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Linea Bajraliu W75 Saguenay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/10 | Clervie Ngounoue W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/10 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W50 Quebec City |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 15/10 | Jamilah Snells W50 Quebec City |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Clemence Mercier W50 Quebec City |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/09 | Chenting Zhu WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/09 | En Shuo Liang WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Xinxin Yao W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Viktoria Morvayova W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Ariana Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Katherine Sebov W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Raphaelle Lacasse W75 Saguenay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 17/10 | Mimi Xu W50 Quebec City |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Ayana Akli W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/10 | Madison Sieg W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Justina Mikulskyte W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/09 | Angelina Voloshchuk WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Catarina Gomes WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 15/09 | Kylie Collins WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Angelina Voloshchuk WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Saito vs Ariana Arseneault?
Our model gives 52% to Ariana Arseneault, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.