Tennis · W75 Saguenay · 22/10, 17:00
Prediction: Tatjana Maria vs Anastasia Kulikova
Team pages: Tatjana Maria · Anastasia Kulikova
Prediction summary
Winner
Tatjana Maria
Anastasia Kulikova
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Tatjana Maria
8-2 (W-L)
Anastasia Kulikova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tatjana Maria 1573 · Anastasia Kulikova 1472
| Tatjana Maria | Anastasia Kulikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tatjana Maria (rating 1573 vs 1472).
- Tatjana Maria is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Anastasia Kulikova makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Tatjana Maria | Anastasia Kulikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8.1 | 9.7-11.5 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74.9% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tatjana Maria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Victoria Hu W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/10 | Dana Guzman W100 Edmond |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Alana Smith W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Madison Brengle W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Malaika Rapolu W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Lea Ma W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Taylor Townsend WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Nikola Bartunkova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Jelena Ostapenko US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Anastasia Kulikova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Irina Balus W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Alana Smith W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Allura Zamarripa W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/10 | Anastasia Abbagnato W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Anna-Lena Friedsam WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Anna-Lena Friedsam WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Jiaqi Wang WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Haruka Kaji W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Joanna Garland W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 01/09 | Xinxin Yao W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tatjana Maria vs Anastasia Kulikova?
Our model gives 78% to Tatjana Maria, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.