Prediction: Min Liu vs Federica Urgesi
Team pages: Min Liu · Federica Urgesi
Prediction summary
Winner
Min Liu
Federica Urgesi
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Min Liu
3-7 (W-L)
Federica Urgesi
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Min Liu 1430 · Federica Urgesi 1496
| Min Liu | Federica Urgesi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 5% | 95% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federica Urgesi (rating 1430 vs 1496).
- Federica Urgesi is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Min Liu | Federica Urgesi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.9-11.6 | 12.4-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 52.3% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Min Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Victoria Gomez O'Hayon W35 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/09 | Arina Arifullina W35 Baza |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Defne Cirpanli W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Victoria Gomez O'Hayon W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Julia Garcia W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Anna Kubareva W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W15 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Stefaniya Pushkar W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Federica Urgesi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Iva Ivanova W50 Stara Zagora |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/10 | Andreya Glushkova W50 Stara Zagora |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/10 | Iva Ivanova W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Angela Fita Boluda W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/09 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 08/09 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 05/09 | Clara Burel W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Maria Lourdes Carle W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 03/09 | Oceane Babel W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Lia Karatancheva W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Min Liu vs Federica Urgesi?
Our model gives 79% to Federica Urgesi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.