Tennis · Challenger Florence · 22/10, 10:00
Prediction: Michele Ribecai vs Max Houkes
Team pages: Michele Ribecai · Max Houkes
Prediction summary
Winner
Michele Ribecai
Max Houkes
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Michele Ribecai
2-8 (W-L)
Max Houkes
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michele Ribecai 1442 · Max Houkes 1640
| Michele Ribecai | Max Houkes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 76% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Houkes (rating 1442 vs 1640).
- Max Houkes is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Michele Ribecai | Max Houkes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 17% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.9-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-11.3 | 14.1-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 40.7% | 58% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michele Ribecai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 07/10 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/10 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Mathys Domenc Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 03/09 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 28/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Max Houkes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 11/10 | Dev Javia M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 10/10 | Calvin Hemery M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 09/10 | Alec Beckley M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Manuel Plunger M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Benjamin Lock M25 Kigali |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Alec Beckley M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 01/10 | Allan Gatoto M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Darrshan Suresh M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michele Ribecai vs Max Houkes?
Our model gives 64% to Max Houkes, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.