Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 21/10, 09:00
Prediction: Mikhail Khodorchenko vs Jan Werblinski
Team pages: Mikhail Khodorchenko · Jan Werblinski
Prediction summary
Winner
Mikhail Khodorchenko
Jan Werblinski
Estimated games
18.7
Recent form · 10 last
Mikhail Khodorchenko
7-3 (W-L)
Jan Werblinski
0-10 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mikhail Khodorchenko 1519 · Jan Werblinski 1381
| Mikhail Khodorchenko | Jan Werblinski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mikhail Khodorchenko (rating 1519 vs 1381).
- Mikhail Khodorchenko is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Jan Werblinski makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Mikhail Khodorchenko | Jan Werblinski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 0% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 0% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0-2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-9.4 | 3.7-11.8 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 56.5% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mikhail Khodorchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Niklas Waldner M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Amr Asrawy M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Daniil Ovcharenko M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Oleg Kolninov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 13/09 | Juan Ignacio Lombisano M15 Tsaghkadzor Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Corentin Denolly M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Edouard Villoslada M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Filip Pavic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Aleksa Oparnica M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Aleksandre Shvangiradze M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Jan Werblinski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Robert Strombachs M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Luca Castagnola M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Bruno Kokot M15 Krakow |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Nikola Jovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Francesco Ferrari M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-8 | L |
| 27/04 | Kasra Rahmani M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Karim El Feky M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/03 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/03 | Tom Zeuch M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/02 | Ognjen Milic M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mikhail Khodorchenko vs Jan Werblinski?
Our model gives 80% to Mikhail Khodorchenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.