Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 21/10, 09:00

Prediction: Tomas Lanik vs Karim Ibrahim

Team pages: Tomas Lanik · Karim Ibrahim

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Tomas Lanik Karim Ibrahim
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Lanik 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLWLWWLW
Karim Ibrahim 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLLLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tomas Lanik 1525 · Karim Ibrahim 1480
Tomas LanikKarim Ibrahim
Our model56%44%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tomas Lanik (rating 1525 vs 1480).
  • Tomas Lanik dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 46% break avg.

Statistics

Tomas LanikKarim Ibrahim
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 75% (4) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.1-11-1.2
Games (G-P)10.7-8.511.9-12.6
Aces6.410.5
Double faults3.62.9
1st serve %75.7%76.2%
Break %46%29%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tomas Lanik

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Bogdan Seleznev
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
23/09 Paul Jubb
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 12-14 L
22/09 Daniil Varaksa
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
21/09 Henry De Keulenaer
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
03/09 David Eichenseher
M15 Szczawno
0-2 1-8 L
02/09 Alex Huszar
M15 Szczawno
2-0 12-3 W
26/08 John Sperle
M15 Pecs
0-2 5-13 L
20/08 Alexander Wagner
M15 Mistelbach
0-2 11-14 L
19/08 Jure Siftar
M15 Mistelbach
2-0 12-4 W
05/08 Karol Filar
M15 Poprad
1-2 18-18 L

Karim Ibrahim

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/10 Robert Strombachs
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
07/10 Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
30/09 Fares Zakaria
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 12-14 L
24/09 Pietro Orlando Fellin
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
1-2 16-19 L
23/09 Anton Arzhankin
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 18-18 W
02/09 Jake Fellows
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 11-15 L
26/08 Andrea Bacaloni
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-1 7-12 L
22/05 Markus Molder
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
21/05 Shanker Heisnam
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
20/05 Karim El Feky
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tomas Lanik vs Karim Ibrahim?

Our model gives 53% to Tomas Lanik, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.