Prediction: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima
Team pages: Mary Stoiana · Moyuka Uchijima
Prediction summary
Winner
Mary Stoiana
Moyuka Uchijima
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mary Stoiana
8-2 (W-L)
Moyuka Uchijima
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mary Stoiana 1560 · Moyuka Uchijima 1490
| Mary Stoiana | Moyuka Uchijima | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mary Stoiana (rating 1560 vs 1490).
- Note: Mary Stoiana makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Moyuka Uchijima makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Mary Stoiana | Moyuka Uchijima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.3 | 11.9-12.1 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 57% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 42.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mary Stoiana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Sayaka Ishii WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/10 | Rinko Matsuda WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Julieta Pareja W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Hanna Chang W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Paula Badosa WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Dominika Salkova WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Claire Liu WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Julia Riera WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/09 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Moyuka Uchijima
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Ena Shibahara WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 06/10 | Zhuoxuan Bai WTA Suzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Yeon Woo Ku Asian Games |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/09 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Lucie Havlickova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Polona Hercog US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Harriet Dart WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima?
Our model gives 63% to Mary Stoiana, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.