Prediction: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger
Team pages: Tereza Valentova · Lilli Tagger
Prediction summary
Winner
Tereza Valentova
Lilli Tagger
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Tereza Valentova
7-3 (W-L)
Lilli Tagger
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tereza Valentova
1–0
Lilli Tagger
(1 last)
- 01 May2-0 14-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tereza Valentova 1544 · Lilli Tagger 1503
| Tereza Valentova | Lilli Tagger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tereza Valentova (rating 1544 vs 1503).
- Lilli Tagger dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 44.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Tereza Valentova 1–0 Lilli Tagger (1).
- Note: Tereza Valentova makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Tereza Valentova | Lilli Tagger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.3 | 11.3-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Tereza Valentova 1 – 0 Lilli Tagger (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tereza Valentova 1–0 Lilli Tagger
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 WTA Saint-Malo | 2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tereza Valentova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Shuai Zhang WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 29/08 | Katie Volynets WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Julia Grabher WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Kylie Collins WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Fangran Tian WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Ariana Arseneault WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Mary Stoiana WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Lilli Tagger
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Amanda Anisimova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Tamara Korpatsch US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Talia Gibson WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Robin Montgomery WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Lin Zhu WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger?
Our model gives 53% to Tereza Valentova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.