Tennis · WTA Osaka · 21/10, 04:30

Prediction: Ann Li vs Zeynep Sonmez

Team pages: Ann Li · Zeynep Sonmez

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Ann Li Zeynep Sonmez
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Ann Li 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWWLLWLL
Zeynep Sonmez 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLLWWWL
Head-to-head
Ann Li 0–3 Zeynep Sonmez (3 last)
  • 29 Jun1-2 15-14L
  • 26 Feb1-2 16-16L
  • 04 Nov0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ann Li 1547 · Zeynep Sonmez 1522
Ann LiZeynep Sonmez
Our model54%46%
Market62%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Ann Li dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 42.5% break avg.
  • Head-to-head: Ann Li 0–3 Zeynep Sonmez (3).
  • Note: Ann Li makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Ann LiZeynep Sonmez
Win %70%50%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.91.1-1.2
Games (G-P)12.2-11.111.1-10.9
Aces6.51
Double faults43.6
1st serve %71%63.1%
Break %42.5%63%
Estimated total games (ours) 23

H2H · Ann Li 0 – 3 Zeynep Sonmez (3)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ann Li 0–3 Zeynep Sonmez

Swipe the table sideways →

DateSetsGamesRes.
29/06/26
Wimbledon Women
1-215-14L
26/02/26
WTA Merida
1-216-16L
04/11/24
WTA Merida
0-23-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ann Li

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Emerson Jones
WTA Osaka · Hard
2-1 17-10 W
16/10 Iga Swiatek
WTA Wuhan · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
15/10 Janice Tjen
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
14/10 Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-1 16-16 W
07/10 Elina Svitolina
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
05/10 Belinda Bencic
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
03/10 Ashlyn Krueger
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
04/09 Linda Noskova
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 11-18 L
03/09 Donna Vekic
US Open Women · Hard
2-1 18-17 W
31/08 Antonia Ruzic
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 13-6 W

Zeynep Sonmez

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Maya Joint
WTA Osaka · Hard
2-1 15-13 W
13/10 Yulia Putintseva
WTA Wuhan · Hard
1-2 15-19 L
11/10 Sinja Kraus
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
10/10 Anastasia Zakharova
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
30/09 Maddison Inglis
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
16/09 Iva Jovic
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
15/09 Iryna Shymanovich
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
02/09 Coco Gauff
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
15/08 Amanda Anisimova
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
13/08 Daria Kasatkina
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 15-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ann Li vs Zeynep Sonmez?

Our model gives 58% to Ann Li, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.