Tennis · Challenger Florence · 22/10, 10:00
Prediction: Federico Bondioli vs Francesco Forti
Team pages: Federico Bondioli · Francesco Forti
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Bondioli
Francesco Forti
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Bondioli
4-6 (W-L)
Francesco Forti
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Federico Bondioli
0–1
Francesco Forti
(1 last)
- 22 Feb1-2 17-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Bondioli 1544 · Francesco Forti 1516
| Federico Bondioli | Francesco Forti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Federico Bondioli 0–1 Francesco Forti (1).
Statistics
| Federico Bondioli | Francesco Forti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-12 | 12-10.6 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 42.2% | 31.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
H2H · Federico Bondioli 0 – 1 Francesco Forti (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Federico Bondioli 0–1 Francesco Forti
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Challenger Lugano | 1-2 | 17-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Bondioli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 19/07 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Francesco Forti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/10 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 26/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Alejandro Juan Mano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Bondioli vs Francesco Forti?
Our model gives 51% to Francesco Forti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.