Prediction: Kayla Day vs Sofia Kenin
Team pages: Kayla Day · Sofia Kenin
Prediction summary
Winner
Kayla Day
Sofia Kenin
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kayla Day
7-3 (W-L)
Sofia Kenin
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kayla Day 1558 · Sofia Kenin 1446
| Kayla Day | Sofia Kenin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kayla Day (rating 1558 vs 1446).
- Kayla Day is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Sofia Kenin makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Kayla Day | Sofia Kenin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-8.5 | 10.6-12.3 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 63% |
| Break % | 41% | 38.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kayla Day
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Maya Joint WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 17/10 | Ena Koike WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Amelie Van Impe W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Janae Preston W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/09 | Ella Mcdonald W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/09 | Anna Rogers W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/09 | Evialina Laskevich W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Arina Bulatova W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/09 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 14/09 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Sofia Kenin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Sinja Kraus WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Mei Yamaguchi WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 10/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Alina Charaeva WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 02/09 | Jessica Pegula US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Venus Williams US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/08 | Eva Lys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 01/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kayla Day vs Sofia Kenin?
Our model gives 57% to Kayla Day, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.