Tennis · W75 Saguenay · 21/10, 16:00
Prediction: Sara Saito vs Clervie Ngounoue
Team pages: Sara Saito · Clervie Ngounoue
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Saito
Clervie Ngounoue
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Saito
6-4 (W-L)
Clervie Ngounoue
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Saito 1456 · Clervie Ngounoue 1491
| Sara Saito | Clervie Ngounoue | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sara Saito makes many double faults (7.7/match).
Statistics
| Sara Saito | Clervie Ngounoue | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-13.9 | 10.4-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 7.7 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 43% | 57.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Saito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W50 Quebec City |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 15/10 | Jamilah Snells W50 Quebec City |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Clemence Mercier W50 Quebec City |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/09 | Chenting Zhu WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/09 | En Shuo Liang WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Xinxin Yao W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Viktoria Morvayova W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 31/07 | Kylie Collins W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Clervie Ngounoue
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Michaela Bayerlova W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/10 | Luisa Hrda W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Carson Branstine US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Yexin Ma W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Reina Goto W100 Landisville |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Olivia Lincer W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Lea Ma W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Polina Kudermetova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Saito vs Clervie Ngounoue?
Our model gives 63% to Clervie Ngounoue, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.