Tennis · W35 Bakersfield · 21/10, 16:00
Prediction: Nika Hurkacz vs Hanna Chang
Team pages: Nika Hurkacz · Hanna Chang
Prediction summary
Winner
Nika Hurkacz
Hanna Chang
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Nika Hurkacz
5-5 (W-L)
Hanna Chang
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nika Hurkacz 1487 · Hanna Chang 1483
| Nika Hurkacz | Hanna Chang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Hanna Chang makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Nika Hurkacz | Hanna Chang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-9.9 | 8.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 55.7% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 57.6% | 56.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nika Hurkacz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Lia Karatancheva WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Salma Djoubri W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
1-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Martina Okalova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/06 | Victoria Bosio W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 17/06 | Anastasija Adeikyte W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Oliwia Drozdz W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Denislava Glushkova W35 Nice |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Keisija Berzina W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Emma Fulvia Wiesenfeld W35 Nice |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
Hanna Chang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Madison Brengle W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Janae Preston W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Mary Stoiana W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Janae Preston W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Alina Shcherbinina W50 Berkeley |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 22/09 | Kailey Evans W50 Berkeley |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/08 | Elizabeth Mandlik W100 Landisville |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 04/08 | Dalayna Hewitt W100 Landisville |
1-1 | 6-4 | W |
| 31/07 | Ayana Akli W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nika Hurkacz vs Hanna Chang?
Our model gives 71% to Hanna Chang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.