Tennis · W35 Bakersfield · 21/10, 16:00
Prediction: Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon vs Jenna Defalco
Team pages: Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon · Jenna Defalco
Prediction summary
Winner
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Jenna Defalco
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
3-7 (W-L)
Jenna Defalco
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon 1527 · Jenna Defalco 1478
| Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon | Jenna Defalco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon (rating 1527 vs 1478).
- Note: Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Jenna Defalco makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon | Jenna Defalco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.3 | 9.9-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 48.2% | 63.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Sofia Johnson W100 Edmond |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/10 | Ashley Lahey W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 07/10 | Emma Kamper W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 28/09 | Carolina Kuhl W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Madison Brengle W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Ashley Lahey W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Carlota Corte W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 30/08 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/08 | Katarina Kuzmova W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 28/08 | Alice Ferlito W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Jenna Defalco
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Annika Penickova W35 Redding |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 13/10 | Krisha Mahendran W35 Redding |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 06/10 | Janae Preston W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Ekaterina Maklakova W100 Templeton |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 22/09 | Arina Bulatova W50 Berkeley |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Anita Sahdiieva W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Sofia Johnson W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Isabel Pascual Montalvo W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Tian Jialin W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Paula Cembranos W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon vs Jenna Defalco?
Our model gives 60% to Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.