Tennis · W35 Loule · 20/10, 14:30

Prediction: Sophie Luescher vs Analu Freitas

Team pages: Sophie Luescher · Analu Freitas

Prediction summary
Winner
83% 17%
Sophie Luescher Analu Freitas
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Sophie Luescher 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWLWWWL
Analu Freitas 0-10 (W-L)
LLLLLLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sophie Luescher 1554 · Analu Freitas 1359
Sophie LuescherAnalu Freitas
Our model75%25%
Market90%10%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sophie Luescher (rating 1554 vs 1359).
  • Sophie Luescher is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Analu Freitas makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Sophie LuescherAnalu Freitas
Win %70%0%
Win % · Hard – 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.90.1-2
Games (G-P)11.6-9.74.9-12.8
Aces0.20.6
Double faults2.94.2
1st serve %56.3%43.6%
Break %65.7%39.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sophie Luescher

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/10 Giulia Safina Popa
W15 Chisinau
0-2 5-12 L
16/10 Sara Victoria Balan
W15 Chisinau
2-0 14-11 W
15/10 Melinda Biro
W15 Chisinau
2-0 12-6 W
14/10 Maria Mikhailova
W15 Chisinau
2-0 12-2 W
09/10 Zuzanna Kolonus
W15 Chisinau
0-2 6-13 L
08/10 Maria Mikhailova
W15 Chisinau
2-1 15-7 W
06/10 Sara Victoria Balan
W15 Chisinau
2-1 19-19 W
05/10 Nala Kovacic
W15 Chisinau
2-1 13-10 W
10/09 Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard
W15 Dijon
0-2 8-13 L
09/09 Meline Lataste
W15 Dijon
2-0 12-4 W

Analu Freitas

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Raluca Georgiana Serban
WTA Lisbon · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
05/10 Kennedy Gibbs
W35 Lagos
0-2 8-13 L
08/06 Valentina Losciale
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
31/05 Sabine Rutlauka
W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard
1-2 16-18 L
27/05 Elyse Tse
W15 Oliva · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
26/05 Helene Pellicano
W15 Oliva · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
28/04 Elizabeth Jurna
W15 Madrid
0-2 2-12 L
12/04 Tessa Johanna Brockmann
WTA Oeiras · Clay
0-2 0-12 L
22/02 Alba Rey Garcia
W75 Porto
0-2 2-12 L
15/02 Yasmine Mansouri
WTA Oeiras Qual · Clay
0-2 2-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sophie Luescher vs Analu Freitas?

Our model gives 83% to Sophie Luescher, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.