Prediction: Laia Petretic vs Madalena Matias
Team pages: Laia Petretic · Madalena Matias
Prediction summary
Winner
Laia Petretic
Madalena Matias
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Laia Petretic
5-5 (W-L)
Madalena Matias
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Laia Petretic 1477 · Madalena Matias 1417
| Laia Petretic | Madalena Matias | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laia Petretic (rating 1477 vs 1417).
- Laia Petretic is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Laia Petretic makes many double faults (6.5/match).
- Note: Madalena Matias makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Laia Petretic | Madalena Matias | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.3-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.9 | 4.4-11.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 6.5 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.1% | 43.4% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 26.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Laia Petretic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Maria Martinez Vaquero W35 Lagos |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/09 | Alize Lim W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Ekaterina Perelygina W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Yasmin Ezzat W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Alize Lim W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Wozuko Mdlulwa W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Andrea Roots W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/09 | Elina Nepliy W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Viola Bedini W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Emilia Brune W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
Madalena Matias
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Polona Hercog WTA Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Veronika Podrez WTA Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 06/09 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W50 Evora |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Zoziya Kardava W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Han Shi W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Teresa Franco Dias W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/05 | Charlotte Keitel W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/04 | Rebecca Sramkova Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/02 | Fiona Crawley WTA Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/02 | Milana Zhabrailova W50 Porto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Laia Petretic vs Madalena Matias?
Our model gives 76% to Laia Petretic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.