Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 20/10, 09:00

Prediction: Tomas Lanik vs Bogdan Seleznev

Team pages: Tomas Lanik · Bogdan Seleznev

Prediction summary
Winner
72% 28%
Tomas Lanik Bogdan Seleznev
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Lanik 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLLWLWWL
Bogdan Seleznev 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLWLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tomas Lanik 1505 · Bogdan Seleznev 1472
Tomas LanikBogdan Seleznev
Our model55%45%
Market86%14%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Tomas LanikBogdan Seleznev
Win %40%40%
Win % · Hard 67% (3) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.21-1.5
Games (G-P)9.7-97.6-11
Aces5.91.2
Double faults3.51.9
1st serve %72.3%56.2%
Break %42.4%36.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tomas Lanik

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Paul Jubb
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 12-14 L
22/09 Daniil Varaksa
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
21/09 Henry De Keulenaer
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
03/09 David Eichenseher
M15 Szczawno
0-2 1-8 L
02/09 Alex Huszar
M15 Szczawno
2-0 12-3 W
26/08 John Sperle
M15 Pecs
0-2 5-13 L
20/08 Alexander Wagner
M15 Mistelbach
0-2 11-14 L
19/08 Jure Siftar
M15 Mistelbach
2-0 12-4 W
05/08 Karol Filar
M15 Poprad
1-2 18-18 L
23/07 Marat Sharipov
M25 Ollersbach
0-2 2-10 L

Bogdan Seleznev

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/10 Omar Kandil
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 9-9 W
28/09 Nicola Rispoli
M15 Telavi · ~Hard
0-2 0-12 L
22/09 Valentino Grippo
M15 Telavi · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
13/09 Radimir Lutkovskii
M15 Tsaghkadzor Qual · ~Clay
1-2 8-11 L
08/09 Dmitry Bessonov
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
07/09 Yannick Castelnuovo
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
06/09 Pavel Savelov
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-1 9-12 W
27/07 Arkhip Kozlov
M15 Astana
1-2 11-12 L
02/07 Mert Naci Turker
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
01/07 Vladimir Osminkin
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-1 17-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tomas Lanik vs Bogdan Seleznev?

Our model gives 72% to Tomas Lanik, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.