Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 20/10, 09:00
Prediction: Niklas Waldner vs Mikhail Khodorchenko
Team pages: Niklas Waldner · Mikhail Khodorchenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Niklas Waldner
Mikhail Khodorchenko
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Niklas Waldner
6-4 (W-L)
Mikhail Khodorchenko
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niklas Waldner 1515 · Mikhail Khodorchenko 1496
| Niklas Waldner | Mikhail Khodorchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Niklas Waldner | Mikhail Khodorchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-9.5 | 9.2-9.3 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 78.2% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niklas Waldner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Romain Faucon M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/10 | Finn Reilly M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Karan Singh M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Lorenzo Lorusso M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Gawad El Feky M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 7-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Denis Rasshchupkin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Romain Faucon M25 Meerbusch |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/08 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M15 Allershausen |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Aiden Spoolder M15 Allershausen |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Tim Heger M25 Ueberlingen |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Mikhail Khodorchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Amr Asrawy M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Daniil Ovcharenko M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Oleg Kolninov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 13/09 | Juan Ignacio Lombisano M15 Tsaghkadzor Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Corentin Denolly M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Edouard Villoslada M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Filip Pavic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Aleksa Oparnica M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Aleksandre Shvangiradze M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niklas Waldner vs Mikhail Khodorchenko?
Our model gives 64% to Niklas Waldner, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.