Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 21/10, 09:00
Prediction: Ruslan Tiukaev vs Melih Anavatan
Team pages: Ruslan Tiukaev · Melih Anavatan
Prediction summary
Winner
Ruslan Tiukaev
Melih Anavatan
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ruslan Tiukaev
8-2 (W-L)
Melih Anavatan
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ruslan Tiukaev 1545 · Melih Anavatan 1450
| Ruslan Tiukaev | Melih Anavatan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ruslan Tiukaev (rating 1545 vs 1450).
- Ruslan Tiukaev is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Ruslan Tiukaev makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Ruslan Tiukaev | Melih Anavatan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-8.5 | 10.2-12.5 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 50% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ruslan Tiukaev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Stijn Paardekooper M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/09 | Zura Tkemaladze M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 17/09 | Roman Kharlamov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Avetik Ghazaryan M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/09 | Lorenzo Ferri M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Fermin Tenti M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/08 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Dmitry Bessonov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Kristian Vukovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Melih Anavatan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Liam Branger M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Mae Malige M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 27/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Hunter Heck Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Mert Naci Turker M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Bora Sengul M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Romain Faucon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ruslan Tiukaev vs Melih Anavatan?
Our model gives 59% to Ruslan Tiukaev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.