Prediction: Goncalo Da Rosa Castro vs Andrea Paolini
Team pages: Andrea Paolini
Prediction summary
Winner
Goncalo Da Rosa Castro
Andrea Paolini
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Goncalo Da Rosa Castro
3-7 (W-L)
Andrea Paolini
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Goncalo Da Rosa Castro 1443 · Andrea Paolini 1481
| Goncalo Da Rosa Castro | Andrea Paolini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Goncalo Da Rosa Castro makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Goncalo Da Rosa Castro | Andrea Paolini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.4 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7-9.8 | 9.1-9.2 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 58.2% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Goncalo Da Rosa Castro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Duarte De Lima Sanches M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Pablo Perez Navarro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Peter Alam M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Lameck Bagerbaseh M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/02 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/02 | Max Basing M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Andrea Paolini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Matej Sabanov M15 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
| 05/10 | Mattia Nannelli M15 Burgas |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/08 | David Ioan Morega M15 Buzau |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Pecs |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Mate Valkusz M15 Pecs |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 26/08 | Radovan Michalik M15 Pecs |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Filip Martinovic M15 Pecs |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Anas Mazdrashki M15 Arad |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Pavel Skvortcov M15 Arad |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Goncalo Da Rosa Castro vs Andrea Paolini?
Our model gives 74% to Andrea Paolini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.