Tennis · Challenger Florence · 20/10, 15:30
Prediction: Yanaki Milev vs Lorenzo Giustino
Team pages: Yanaki Milev · Lorenzo Giustino
Prediction summary
Winner
Yanaki Milev
Lorenzo Giustino
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Yanaki Milev
7-3 (W-L)
Lorenzo Giustino
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yanaki Milev 1607 · Lorenzo Giustino 1539
| Yanaki Milev | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanaki Milev (rating 1607 vs 1539).
Statistics
| Yanaki Milev | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-9.9 | 12-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 42.6% | 36.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yanaki Milev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Maximus Jones Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 11/10 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/10 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/10 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Lorenzo Giustino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 13/10 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/10 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Christian Langmo Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | John Sperle Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 25/09 | Gerard Campana Lee M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Matias Ponce de Leon Gomila M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-0 | 12-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Grigor Dimitrov US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yanaki Milev vs Lorenzo Giustino?
Our model gives 53% to Lorenzo Giustino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.