Tennis · Challenger Florence · 20/10, 10:00
Prediction: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile
Team pages: Alex Marti Pujolras · Pierluigi Basile
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Marti Pujolras
Pierluigi Basile
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Marti Pujolras
6-4 (W-L)
Pierluigi Basile
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Marti Pujolras 1525 · Pierluigi Basile 1550
| Alex Marti Pujolras | Pierluigi Basile | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alex Marti Pujolras makes many double faults (5.3/match).
- Note: Pierluigi Basile makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Alex Marti Pujolras | Pierluigi Basile | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10.1 | 11.8-12.9 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 69% |
| Break % | 48.2% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Marti Pujolras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/10 | Jakub Vrba Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/10 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 11/10 | John Sperle Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Filippo Moroni Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Nico Hipfl M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/09 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/09 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Pierluigi Basile
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Dmitry Popko Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Tommaso Compagnucci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 06/10 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Martin Krumich Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Max Wiskandt Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 28/09 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/09 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 21/09 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile?
Our model gives 52% to Pierluigi Basile, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.