Tennis · M15 Tanagura · 21/10, 02:00
Prediction: Reiya Komagata vs Takuya Kumasaka
Team pages: Reiya Komagata · Takuya Kumasaka
Prediction summary
Winner
Reiya Komagata
Takuya Kumasaka
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Reiya Komagata
4-6 (W-L)
Takuya Kumasaka
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Reiya Komagata 1472 · Takuya Kumasaka 1445
| Reiya Komagata | Takuya Kumasaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Reiya Komagata | Takuya Kumasaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.3 | 8.7-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 35.5% | 39.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reiya Komagata
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Ko Suzuki M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Shu Muto M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Thomas Linley M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Jesse Flores M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Ryoma Cogan M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Ryuichiro Nakano M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 27/08 | Enzo Aguiard M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Takuya Kumasaka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Joshua Charlton Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Alexander Donski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Florent Bax Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 20/07 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/07 | Asier Meneses Perny Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reiya Komagata vs Takuya Kumasaka?
Our model gives 64% to Takuya Kumasaka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.