Tennis · M15 Tanagura · 21/10, 02:00
Prediction: Riku Takahata vs Noritaka Koizumi
Team pages: Riku Takahata · Noritaka Koizumi
Prediction summary
Winner
Riku Takahata
Noritaka Koizumi
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Riku Takahata
3-7 (W-L)
Noritaka Koizumi
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Riku Takahata
0–1
Noritaka Koizumi
(1 last)
- 01 Sept0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Riku Takahata 1514 · Noritaka Koizumi 1498
| Riku Takahata | Noritaka Koizumi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Riku Takahata 0–1 Noritaka Koizumi (1).
Statistics
| Riku Takahata | Noritaka Koizumi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.2 | 8.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 58% |
| Break % | 50% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
H2H · Riku Takahata 0 – 1 Noritaka Koizumi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Riku Takahata 0–1 Noritaka Koizumi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/26 M25 Urayasu | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Riku Takahata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Masaki Ishikawa M15 Tanagura |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Chase Ferguson M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Takumi Katsuda M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Noritaka Koizumi M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Masaki Ishikawa M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/08 | Ofek Shimanov M15 Astana |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Astana |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 28/07 | Arkhip Kozlov M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/07 | Makar Krivoshchekov M15 Astana |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Noritaka Koizumi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Taisei Ichikawa Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Shunsuke Mitsui M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Riku Takahata M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Kristjan Tamm M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Masamichi Imamura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/08 | Ryota Tanuma M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-18 | L |
| 16/07 | James Van Herzeele M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Riku Takahata vs Noritaka Koizumi?
Our model gives 53% to Noritaka Koizumi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.