Tennis · M15 Tanagura · 21/10, 02:00
Prediction: Toshiki Karigyo vs Hiromasa Koyama
Team pages: Toshiki Karigyo · Hiromasa Koyama
Prediction summary
Winner
Toshiki Karigyo
Hiromasa Koyama
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Toshiki Karigyo
5-5 (W-L)
Hiromasa Koyama
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Toshiki Karigyo
1–0
Hiromasa Koyama
(1 last)
- 22 Oct2-1 16-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Toshiki Karigyo 1543 · Hiromasa Koyama 1576
| Toshiki Karigyo | Hiromasa Koyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Toshiki Karigyo 1–0 Hiromasa Koyama (1).
- Note: Toshiki Karigyo makes many double faults (6.4/match).
- Note: Hiromasa Koyama makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Toshiki Karigyo | Hiromasa Koyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.4 | 11.5-8.6 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Toshiki Karigyo 1 – 0 Hiromasa Koyama (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Toshiki Karigyo 1–0 Hiromasa Koyama
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/25 ITF M15 Tanagura | 2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Toshiki Karigyo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Natsuki Yamamoto M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Taiyo Uenoyama UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Ye Chen M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Tsung-Hao Huang M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Ku Keon Kang M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Eric Jr. Olivarez M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Koyu Yanagi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Naoto Tomizawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Taiyo Kurata UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Christopher Rodi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Hiromasa Koyama
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Zhao Zhao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/09 | Jaesung Choe M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/09 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Zichen Shao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Yue Xia M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Qian Sun M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Lachlan Vickery M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Luca Castelnuovo M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Shinji Hazawa M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 20/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Toshiki Karigyo vs Hiromasa Koyama?
Our model gives 62% to Hiromasa Koyama, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.