Tennis · M15 Tanagura · 21/10, 02:00
Prediction: Takumi Katsuda vs Hugo Hashimoto
Team pages: Hugo Hashimoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Takumi Katsuda
Hugo Hashimoto
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Takumi Katsuda
5-5 (W-L)
Hugo Hashimoto
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Takumi Katsuda 1507 · Hugo Hashimoto 1492
| Takumi Katsuda | Hugo Hashimoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Takumi Katsuda | Hugo Hashimoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-10.1 | 11.3-8.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 30.6% | 56.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Takumi Katsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Kaede Katayama M15 Tanagura |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Masaki Ishikawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Liam Youn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Taki Adachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Raffael Gasanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Riku Takahata M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Yunseong Chung M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Satoru Nakajima UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Hugo Hashimoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Ryo Minakata M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Eric Jr. Olivarez M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-10 | L |
| 03/09 | Thantub Suksumrarn M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Shu Muto M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Moksh Puri M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/08 | Kristjan Tamm M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Douglas Yaffa UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/07 | David Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Noah Johnston M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Kyle Overmyer M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Takumi Katsuda vs Hugo Hashimoto?
Our model gives 65% to Hugo Hashimoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.