Tennis · M15 Tanagura · 21/10, 02:00
Prediction: Shotaro Yamamoto vs Koyu Yanagi
Team pages: Shotaro Yamamoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Shotaro Yamamoto
Koyu Yanagi
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Shotaro Yamamoto
6-4 (W-L)
Koyu Yanagi
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shotaro Yamamoto 1536 · Koyu Yanagi 1501
| Shotaro Yamamoto | Koyu Yanagi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Shotaro Yamamoto | Koyu Yanagi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-9.2 | 10.4-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.9 | – |
| Double faults | 2.6 | – |
| 1st serve % | 61% | – |
| Break % | 53.4% | – |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shotaro Yamamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Raffael Gasanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/10 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Sota Kambara UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Kirill Kistanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Taketo Takamisawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Kai Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Riku Higashi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Koyu Yanagi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Taichi Wakamatsu UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Malek El-Qurneh UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 14/08 | Keishi Hashimoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Haruka Okubo UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 18/07 | Min Jae Kim UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Soma Fukuhara UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/02 | Ryotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shotaro Yamamoto vs Koyu Yanagi?
Our model gives 52% to Koyu Yanagi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.