Tennis · M15 Tanagura · 21/10, 02:00

Prediction: Yan Cheng Chen vs Oscar Brown

Team pages: Yan Cheng Chen · Oscar Brown

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Yan Cheng Chen Oscar Brown
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Yan Cheng Chen 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLLWLWLL
Oscar Brown 6-4 (W-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yan Cheng Chen 1509 · Oscar Brown 1525
Yan Cheng ChenOscar Brown
Our model48%52%
Market29%71%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Yan Cheng ChenOscar Brown
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 40% (5) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.11.2-0.8
Games (G-P)9.3-8.79.9-8.4
Aces1.51.9
Double faults2.82.4
1st serve %63.2%64.5%
Break %41.5%44.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yan Cheng Chen

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/10 Mert Alkaya
M25 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
08/10 Dong Ju Kim
M25 Luan · ~Hard
1-1 6-8 L
07/10 Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
11/09 Digvijay Pratap Singh
M15 Bali
0-2 4-12 L
10/09 Azuma Visaya
M15 Bali
2-1 16-11 W
09/09 Haruto Ishikawa
M15 Bali
2-1 16-11 W
03/09 Isaac Becroft
M15 Bali
0-2 2-7 L
02/09 Raghav Jaisinghani
M15 Bali
2-0 12-3 W
28/08 Kasidit Samrej
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
27/08 Sanhui Shin
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Oscar Brown

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/10 Sora Fukuda
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/10 Mikal Statham
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
16/10 Hien Q H Pham
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
01/10 Digvijay Pratap Singh
M15 Baku
0-2 9-13 L
29/09 Pavel Skvortcov
M15 Baku
2-0 12-5 W
26/09 Digvijay Pratap Singh
M15 Baku
0-2 8-13 L
25/09 Karol Filar
M15 Baku
2-0 12-5 W
24/09 Kerem Yilmaz
M15 Baku
2-0 12-7 W
13/09 Cesar Bouchelaghem
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
12/09 Hazem Naw
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yan Cheng Chen vs Oscar Brown?

Our model gives 63% to Oscar Brown, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.