Tennis · WTA Osaka · 21/10, 04:00

Prediction: Talia Gibson vs Sinja Kraus

Team pages: Talia Gibson · Sinja Kraus

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Talia Gibson Sinja Kraus
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Talia Gibson 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWWWLLLW
Sinja Kraus 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWWLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Talia Gibson 1494 · Sinja Kraus 1553
Talia GibsonSinja Kraus
Our model42%58%
Market57%43%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sinja Kraus (rating 1494 vs 1553).
  • Sinja Kraus is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Talia Gibson makes many double faults (5.5/match).

Statistics

Talia GibsonSinja Kraus
Win %40%70%
Win % · Hard 40% (10) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1-1.31.5-0.9
Games (G-P)10.6-12.411.8-10.9
Aces3.81.6
Double faults5.53.6
1st serve %64.1%61.2%
Break %48.2%45.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Talia Gibson

WLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/10 Harriet Dart
WTA Osaka · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
10/10 Sara Sorribes Tormo
WTA Wuhan · Hard
0-2 5-13 L
30/09 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
27/09 Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA Singapore · Hard
0-2 5-13 L
25/09 Maria Sakkari
WTA Singapore · Hard
2-1 16-9 W
24/09 Viktoria Morvayova
WTA Singapore · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
21/09 Fiona Ferro
WTA Singapore · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
30/08 Donna Vekic
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 11-16 L
24/08 Lizette Cabrera
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
1-2 16-19 L
16/08 Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 8-13 L

Sinja Kraus

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/10 Sofia Kenin
WTA Osaka · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
17/10 Momoko Kobori
WTA Osaka · Hard
2-1 15-9 W
11/10 Zeynep Sonmez
WTA Wuhan · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
10/10 Magda Linette
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
06/10 Nikola Bartunkova
WTA Beijing · Hard
1-2 9-16 L
04/10 Dayana Yastremska
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
30/09 Maya Joint
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
26/09 Reese Brantmeier
WTA Porto · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
25/09 Elena Malygina
WTA Porto · Hard
2-1 18-14 W
23/09 Matilde Jorge
WTA Porto · Hard
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Talia Gibson vs Sinja Kraus?

Our model gives 50% to Talia Gibson, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.