Tennis · M15 Tanagura · 20/10, 02:30
Prediction: Makoto Ochi vs Ryota Tanuma
Team pages: Makoto Ochi · Ryota Tanuma
Prediction summary
Winner
Makoto Ochi
Ryota Tanuma
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Makoto Ochi
5-5 (W-L)
Ryota Tanuma
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Makoto Ochi
3–1
Ryota Tanuma
(4 last)
- 09 Jan2-0 12-8W
- 21 Sept1-2 11-13L
- 06 Apr2-1 15-15W
- 03 Jun2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Makoto Ochi 1481 · Ryota Tanuma 1567
| Makoto Ochi | Ryota Tanuma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryota Tanuma (rating 1481 vs 1567).
- Ryota Tanuma is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Makoto Ochi 3–1 Ryota Tanuma (4).
Statistics
| Makoto Ochi | Ryota Tanuma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.3 | 11.1-7.5 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 32.1% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
H2H · Makoto Ochi 3 – 1 Ryota Tanuma (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Makoto Ochi 3–1 Ryota Tanuma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/20 ITF M15 Hong Kong | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/09/19 ITF M15 Nanchang | 1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 06/04/18 ITF Japan F5 | 2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 03/06/15 ITF Japan F5 | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Makoto Ochi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Hayden Jones M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Chen Dong M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Yuki Mochizuki M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Seiya Nakanishi M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Urayasu |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Yu Tanaka M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/08 | Yuya Hirose M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/08 | Sean Cuenin M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Drazen Petrovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Ryota Tanuma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/10 | Ryotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/09 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/09 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Jerry Roddick M25 Sapporo |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Naoya Honda M25 Sapporo |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Mao Takada M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/09 | Naoki Nakagawa M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Makoto Ochi vs Ryota Tanuma?
Our model gives 60% to Ryota Tanuma, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.