Tennis · M15 Tanagura · 20/10, 02:30
Prediction: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Yuto Oki
Team pages: Taiyo Yamanaka · Yuto Oki
Prediction summary
Winner
Taiyo Yamanaka
Yuto Oki
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Taiyo Yamanaka
5-5 (W-L)
Yuto Oki
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taiyo Yamanaka 1537 · Yuto Oki 1480
| Taiyo Yamanaka | Yuto Oki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taiyo Yamanaka (rating 1537 vs 1480).
Statistics
| Taiyo Yamanaka | Yuto Oki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-9.9 | 8.9-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 30.7% | 29.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taiyo Yamanaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Anton Shepp M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Max Purcell M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Yuta Tomida M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 30/09 | Nikolai Barsukov M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/09 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Egor Agafonov Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Nikita Ianin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
Yuto Oki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Yanki Erel M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Shintaro Imai M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Kai-An Wu M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/08 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taiyo Yamanaka vs Yuto Oki?
Our model gives 59% to Taiyo Yamanaka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.