Tennis · M15 Tanagura · 20/10, 02:30
Prediction: Jumpei Yamasaki vs Yuta Tomida
Team pages: Jumpei Yamasaki · Yuta Tomida
Prediction summary
Winner
Jumpei Yamasaki
Yuta Tomida
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Jumpei Yamasaki
4-6 (W-L)
Yuta Tomida
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jumpei Yamasaki
0–1
Yuta Tomida
(1 last)
- 27 Mar0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jumpei Yamasaki 1463 · Yuta Tomida 1587
| Jumpei Yamasaki | Yuta Tomida | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuta Tomida (rating 1463 vs 1587).
- Yuta Tomida is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Jumpei Yamasaki 0–1 Yuta Tomida (1).
Statistics
| Jumpei Yamasaki | Yuta Tomida | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-9.7 | 11.9-8.1 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 36.1% | 46.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
H2H · Jumpei Yamasaki 0 – 1 Yuta Tomida (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jumpei Yamasaki 0–1 Yuta Tomida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 M15 Tsukuba | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jumpei Yamasaki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Max Purcell M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Bali |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
| 12/06 | Jangjun Kim M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Hayden Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Colin Sinclair M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/06 | Asahi Harazaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Leo Vithoontien M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Ryo Minakata M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/05 | Takuya Kumasaka M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Yuta Tomida
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Petr Bar Biryukov M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/10 | Zhengyu Sun M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Xirui Han M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/09 | Jaesung Choe M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 10/09 | Chen-Yu Lu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Ryo Minakata M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/09 | Qian Sun M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jumpei Yamasaki vs Yuta Tomida?
Our model gives 58% to Yuta Tomida, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.