Tennis · W75 Saguenay · 20/10, 16:00
Prediction: Margaux Rouvroy vs Katherine Sebov
Team pages: Margaux Rouvroy · Katherine Sebov
Prediction summary
Winner
Margaux Rouvroy
Katherine Sebov
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Margaux Rouvroy
4-6 (W-L)
Katherine Sebov
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Margaux Rouvroy
1–0
Katherine Sebov
(1 last)
- 01 Oct2-1 14-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Margaux Rouvroy 1514 · Katherine Sebov 1446
| Margaux Rouvroy | Katherine Sebov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Margaux Rouvroy (rating 1514 vs 1446).
- Head-to-head: Margaux Rouvroy 1–0 Katherine Sebov (1).
Statistics
| Margaux Rouvroy | Katherine Sebov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.5 | 9.3-11 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 54.5% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Margaux Rouvroy 1 – 0 Katherine Sebov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Margaux Rouvroy 1–0 Katherine Sebov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/26 W75 Quinta Do Lago | 2-1 | 14-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Margaux Rouvroy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Eva Vedder W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Susan Bandecchi W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Katherine Sebov W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Paula Ortega Redondo W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/09 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W50 Yecla |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/09 | Amandine Hesse W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Sofia Johnson WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Matilde Jorge W50 Evora |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Hannah Klugman W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Yeon Woo Ku W50 Leiria |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Katherine Sebov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Francoise Abanda W50 Quebec City |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Margaux Rouvroy W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 29/09 | Alize Lim W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Julia Avdeeva US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Aoi Ito WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Aran Teixido Garcia WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Margaux Rouvroy vs Katherine Sebov?
Our model gives 50% to Margaux Rouvroy, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.