Tennis · W75 Saguenay · 20/10, 16:00
Prediction: Raphaelle Lacasse vs Ariana Arseneault
Team pages: Raphaelle Lacasse · Ariana Arseneault
Prediction summary
Winner
Raphaelle Lacasse
Ariana Arseneault
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Raphaelle Lacasse
7-3 (W-L)
Ariana Arseneault
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Raphaelle Lacasse 1520 · Ariana Arseneault 1510
| Raphaelle Lacasse | Ariana Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Raphaelle Lacasse makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Raphaelle Lacasse | Ariana Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.7 | 9.8-9 |
| Aces | 4 | 2 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 61% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raphaelle Lacasse
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Jamilah Snells W50 Quebec City |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Andrea Cabio W50 Quebec City |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 11/10 | Amy Lu W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Angelina Voloshchuk WTA Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/09 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Evora |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Clara Vlasselaer W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Lina Glushko W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Ekaterina Yashina W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Berta Bonardi W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Ariana Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Mimi Xu W50 Quebec City |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Ayana Akli W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/10 | Madison Sieg W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Justina Mikulskyte W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/09 | Angelina Voloshchuk WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Catarina Gomes WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 15/09 | Kylie Collins WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Angelina Voloshchuk WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Georgina Garcia-Perez WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W50 Evora |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raphaelle Lacasse vs Ariana Arseneault?
Our model gives 60% to Ariana Arseneault, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.