Tennis · W75 Saguenay · 19/10, 16:00

Prediction: Irina Balus vs Michika Ozeki

Team pages: Irina Balus · Michika Ozeki

Prediction summary
Winner
71% 29%
Irina Balus Michika Ozeki
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Irina Balus 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWWLLLW
Michika Ozeki 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWWWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Irina Balus 1582 · Michika Ozeki 1489
Irina BalusMichika Ozeki
Our model63%37%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Irina Balus (rating 1582 vs 1489).
  • Irina Balus is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Irina BalusMichika Ozeki
Win %80%40%
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.51.1-1.4
Games (G-P)11.9-811.1-12.8
Aces11.2
Double faults3.63
1st serve %62.1%55.5%
Break %58.1%53.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Irina Balus

WLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/10 Avery Alexander
W75 Saguenay
2-0 12-8 W
29/09 Arianna Zucchini
W100 Templeton
1-2 10-16 L
28/09 Krisha Mahendran
W100 Templeton
2-1 17-15 W
02/08 Jule Niemeier
W50 Knokke-Heist
1-2 8-16 L
01/08 Jenny Lim
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-0 12-5 W
31/07 Martha Matoula
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-0 12-5 W
30/07 Tilwith Di Girolami
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-0 12-4 W
28/07 Julia Adams
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-0 12-4 W
27/07 Valentina Ivanov
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-0 12-4 W
26/07 Klara Veldman
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-0 12-3 W

Michika Ozeki

WWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/10 Tori Kinard
W75 Saguenay
2-0 13-9 W
14/10 Kallista Liu
W50 Quebec City
0-2 5-12 L
26/09 Sakura Hosogi
W50 Nanao
0-2 10-13 L
25/09 Tiana Tian Deng
W50 Nanao
2-1 17-14 W
24/09 Kurumi Tamura
W50 Nanao
2-0 13-7 W
23/09 Yidi Yang
W50 Nanao
2-1 14-12 W
16/09 Eri Shimizu
W35 Kyoto
1-2 11-16 L
08/09 Ha Eum Lee
W15 Yeongwol
0-2 2-12 L
02/09 Eun Ji Lee
W15 Yeongwol
1-2 11-16 L
11/08 Duanrui Gao
W15 Tianjin
1-2 15-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Irina Balus vs Michika Ozeki?

Our model gives 71% to Irina Balus.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.