Tennis · Challenger Florence · 19/10, 11:30
Prediction: Yanaki Milev vs Maximus Jones
Team pages: Yanaki Milev · Maximus Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Yanaki Milev
Maximus Jones
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Yanaki Milev
6-4 (W-L)
Maximus Jones
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yanaki Milev 1581 · Maximus Jones 1519
| Yanaki Milev | Maximus Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanaki Milev (rating 1581 vs 1519).
Statistics
| Yanaki Milev | Maximus Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10.4 | 11.4-9.9 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 67% |
| Break % | 38.2% | 60.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yanaki Milev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 11/10 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/10 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/10 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Maximus Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Martino Guidotti Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/10 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Florent Bax Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Alastair Gray Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yanaki Milev vs Maximus Jones?
Our model gives 63% to Yanaki Milev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.