Tennis · Challenger Florence · 19/10, 10:00
Prediction: Dmitry Popko vs Pierluigi Basile
Team pages: Dmitry Popko · Pierluigi Basile
Prediction summary
Winner
Dmitry Popko
Pierluigi Basile
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Dmitry Popko
9-1 (W-L)
Pierluigi Basile
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dmitry Popko 1585 · Pierluigi Basile 1530
| Dmitry Popko | Pierluigi Basile | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dmitry Popko (rating 1585 vs 1530).
- Note: Pierluigi Basile makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Dmitry Popko | Pierluigi Basile | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 86% (7) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-7.9 | 11.7-12.1 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dmitry Popko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 03/10 | Stijn Paardekooper M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/09 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Dmitry Bessonov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/09 | Grigory Shebekin M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/09 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 05/09 | Alexandre Aubriot M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Edouard Villoslada M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Pierluigi Basile
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Tommaso Compagnucci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 06/10 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Martin Krumich Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Max Wiskandt Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 28/09 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/09 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 21/09 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/09 | Guillermo Tunas Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dmitry Popko vs Pierluigi Basile?
Our model gives 50% to Dmitry Popko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.