Tennis · Challenger Florence · 19/10, 10:00
Prediction: Izan Almazan Valiente vs Alex Marti Pujolras
Team pages: Izan Almazan Valiente · Alex Marti Pujolras
Prediction summary
Winner
Izan Almazan Valiente
Alex Marti Pujolras
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Izan Almazan Valiente
6-4 (W-L)
Alex Marti Pujolras
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Izan Almazan Valiente 1559 · Alex Marti Pujolras 1506
| Izan Almazan Valiente | Alex Marti Pujolras | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Izan Almazan Valiente (rating 1559 vs 1506).
- Note: Alex Marti Pujolras makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Izan Almazan Valiente | Alex Marti Pujolras | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.1 | 11.5-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 46.7% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Izan Almazan Valiente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 14/10 | Felix Gill Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/09 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Stefan Popovic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Alex Marti Pujolras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Jakub Vrba Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/10 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 11/10 | John Sperle Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Filippo Moroni Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Nico Hipfl M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/09 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/09 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Izan Almazan Valiente vs Alex Marti Pujolras?
Our model gives 57% to Izan Almazan Valiente, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.