Tennis · W75 Saguenay · 18/10, 18:00

Prediction: Carson Tanguilig vs Ava Catanzarite

Team pages: Carson Tanguilig · Ava Catanzarite

Prediction summary
Winner
65% 35%
Carson Tanguilig Ava Catanzarite
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Carson Tanguilig 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWWWLLWL
Ava Catanzarite 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carson Tanguilig 1521 · Ava Catanzarite 1543
Carson TanguiligAva Catanzarite
Our model47%53%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Carson TanguiligAva Catanzarite
Win %60%70%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) –
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.3-0.8
Games (G-P)12.4-9.59.5-7.6
Aces1.80.4
Double faults1.53.1
1st serve %61.5%64.9%
Break %43%57.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carson Tanguilig

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/09 Harmony Tan
W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
28/09 Michaela Bayerlova
W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
20/09 Carolina Gomez
W50 Yecla
0-2 7-12 L
17/09 Martyna Kubka
W75 Le Neubourg
1-2 12-17 L
16/09 Amandine Hesse
W75 Le Neubourg
2-0 13-9 W
14/09 Carolin Raschdorf
W75 Le Neubourg
2-0 12-1 W
13/09 Severine Deppner
W75 Le Neubourg
2-0 12-4 W
07/08 Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
W35 Southaven
1-2 14-17 L
06/08 Aran Teixido Garcia
W35 Southaven
2-1 18-10 W
06/08 Alina Shcherbinina
W35 Southaven
2-1 18-12 W

Ava Catanzarite

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/10 Kallista Liu
W50 Quebec City
0-2 3-12 L
11/10 Catherine Xie
W50 Quebec City
2-0 12-6 W
24/09 Ana Sofia Sanchez
W15 Belem
0-2 6-13 L
23/09 Isabela De Mattos Silva
W15 Belem
2-0 12-1 W
20/09 Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso
W15 Sao Luis
0-2 2-12 L
19/09 Josefina Estevez
W15 Sao Luis
2-0 12-5 W
18/09 Leticia Garcia Vidal
W15 Sao Luis
2-0 13-8 W
17/09 Luna Maria Cinalli
W15 Sao Luis
2-1 16-14 W
16/09 Mariana De Jesus Ribeiro Silveira
W15 Sao Luis
2-0 12-0 W
03/08 Martina Okalova
W100 Landisville
1-1 7-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carson Tanguilig vs Ava Catanzarite?

Our model gives 65% to Carson Tanguilig, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.