Tennis · W75 Saguenay · 18/10, 16:30
Prediction: Irina Balus vs Avery Alexander
Team pages: Irina Balus · Avery Alexander
Prediction summary
Winner
Irina Balus
Avery Alexander
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Irina Balus
6-4 (W-L)
Avery Alexander
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Irina Balus 1560 · Avery Alexander 1462
| Irina Balus | Avery Alexander | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Irina Balus (rating 1560 vs 1462).
- Irina Balus is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Irina Balus | Avery Alexander | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-8.5 | 9.8-10.6 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 60.4% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Irina Balus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Arianna Zucchini W100 Templeton |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 28/09 | Krisha Mahendran W100 Templeton |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 02/08 | Jule Niemeier W50 Knokke-Heist |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 01/08 | Jenny Lim W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Martha Matoula W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Tilwith Di Girolami W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Julia Adams W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/07 | Valentina Ivanov W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Klara Veldman W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Angela Fita Boluda W100 Amstetten |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Avery Alexander
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Victoria Hu W50 Quebec City |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Miho Kuramochi WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Martina Okalova WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/07 | Miho Kuramochi W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Martyna Ostrzygalo W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Erika Sema W75 Granby |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Olivia Lincer W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Scarlett Nicholson W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/03 | Catherine Rennard W15 Victoriaville |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Irina Balus vs Avery Alexander?
Our model gives 68% to Irina Balus, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.