Prediction: Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart
Team pages: Talia Gibson · Harriet Dart
Prediction summary
Winner
Talia Gibson
Harriet Dart
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Talia Gibson
3-7 (W-L)
Harriet Dart
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Talia Gibson 1474 · Harriet Dart 1579
| Talia Gibson | Harriet Dart | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harriet Dart (rating 1474 vs 1579).
- Harriet Dart is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Talia Gibson makes many double faults (6/match).
- Note: Harriet Dart makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Talia Gibson | Harriet Dart | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-12.5 | 13.5-9.9 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 6 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 47.2% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Talia Gibson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Maria Sakkari WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 24/09 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/09 | Fiona Ferro WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Donna Vekic US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Lizette Cabrera WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 16/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Lilli Tagger WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Harriet Dart
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Aoi Ito WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 17/10 | Rina Saigo WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/10 | Iva Jovic WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Yihan Qu WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Yexin Ma WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Tiphanie Lemaitre WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Marie Bouzkova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Peyton Stearns US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/08 | Heather Watson US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Kristina Penickova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Talia Gibson vs Harriet Dart?
Our model gives 53% to Harriet Dart, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.