Tennis · WTA Osaka · 20/10, 04:30

Prediction: Claire Liu vs Magda Linette

Team pages: Claire Liu · Magda Linette

Prediction summary
Winner
65% 35%
Claire Liu Magda Linette
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Claire Liu 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWLWLLWW
Magda Linette 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLLLLWLL
Head-to-head
Claire Liu 1–0 Magda Linette (1 last)
  • 03 Apr2-1 13-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Claire Liu 1547 · Magda Linette 1392
Claire LiuMagda Linette
Our model71%29%
Market60%40%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Claire Liu (rating 1547 vs 1392).
  • Claire Liu is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Claire Liu 1–0 Magda Linette (1).

Statistics

Claire LiuMagda Linette
Win %70%10%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 11% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.70.4-1.9
Games (G-P)11.5-7.99.1-12.8
Aces42.6
Double faults3.83.2
1st serve %71.7%60.9%
Break %42.7%37.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

H2H · Claire Liu 1 – 0 Magda Linette (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Claire Liu 1–0 Magda Linette

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DateSetsGamesRes.
03/04/18
WTA Charleston
2-113-12W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Claire Liu

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/10 Maddison Inglis
WTA Osaka · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
17/10 Kanon Sawashiro
WTA Osaka · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
10/10 Lanlana Tararudee
WTA Wuhan · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
07/10 Rebecca Sramkova
WTA Suzhou · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
05/10 Elsa Jacquemot
WTA Suzhou · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
16/09 Mary Stoiana
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
12/09 Anna Blinkova
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
11/09 Leolia Jeanjean
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
10/09 Kaitlin Quevedo
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
09/09 Varvara Lepchenko
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Magda Linette

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/10 Sinja Kraus
WTA Wuhan · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
01/10 Katerina Siniakova
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
21/09 Darya Astakhova
WTA Seoul · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
02/09 Francesca Jones
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 13-13 L
13/08 Elena-Gabriela Ruse
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
05/08 Iva Jovic
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
03/08 Carol Zhao
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-1 16-11 W
27/07 Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA Washington · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
13/07 Mai Hontama
WTA Athens · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
29/06 Mirra Andreeva
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Claire Liu vs Magda Linette?

Our model gives 65% to Claire Liu, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.