Tennis · WTA Osaka · 20/10, 04:30

Prediction: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mary Stoiana

Team pages: Oleksandra Oliynykova · Mary Stoiana

Prediction summary
Winner
39% 61%
Oleksandra Oliynykova Mary Stoiana
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Oleksandra Oliynykova 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWLWLLW
Mary Stoiana 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oleksandra Oliynykova 1499 · Mary Stoiana 1534
Oleksandra OliynykovaMary Stoiana
Our model45%55%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Mary Stoiana makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Oleksandra OliynykovaMary Stoiana
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1-11.3-0.8
Games (G-P)8.3-9.211-10
Aces10.9
Double faults3.14.3
1st serve %52.5%58.9%
Break %63.7%46.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oleksandra Oliynykova

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/10 Wushuang Zheng
WTA Suzhou · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
30/09 Yue Yuan
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
23/09 Maja Chwalinska
WTA Singapore · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
22/09 Vivian Wolff
WTA Singapore · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
03/09 Alexandra Eala
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
01/09 Reese Brantmeier
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
26/08 Diane Parry
WTA Monterrey · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
24/08 Mayar Sherif
WTA Monterrey · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
16/08 Mirra Andreeva
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
14/08 Elvina Kalieva
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Mary Stoiana

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/10 Sayaka Ishii
WTA Osaka · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
17/10 Rinko Matsuda
WTA Osaka · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
01/10 Julieta Pareja
W100 Templeton
0-2 10-14 L
01/10 Hanna Chang
W100 Templeton
2-0 12-7 W
18/09 Paula Badosa
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/09 Dominika Salkova
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
16/09 Claire Liu
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
10/09 Julia Riera
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
1-2 15-17 L
09/09 Jazmin Ortenzi
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
02/09 Alexandra Eala
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mary Stoiana?

Our model gives 61% to Mary Stoiana, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.